Waiwai kūʻai attractiveness o ka hana, a me ka forecasting o ka waiwai kūʻai hope o na hana o ke kūkulu hana

Hana o ke kūkulu hana - he luna '? Iecaianoaaiiuo a-yeiiiie?'ōnaehana ua wehewehe aku ma ka pu ana o ka waiwai, inextricably ua hoʻopili i kona na hiʻona. Mau nā: pono, kohoʻia, ka hoʻoneʻe, adaptability, kuleana, ka hoʻokūkū, HOU susceptibility, waiwai kūʻai haʻawina, i ka lewa i loko o nāʻano o ka nui o ka waiwai kūʻai, me ka unahiʻole, pulakaumaka a me ka laulā o kona waihona kālā, i ka waiwai kūʻai hoopii o ka hana me ka a pau.

Ma ke kālā no keia, ho'ākāka 'ia ma ka kiʻekiʻe Competition i loko o ka hana a me ka saturation o ka kuʻunaʻano o nā huahana (lawelawe), ua haawiia mai ka pono a hiki i ka poʻe kūkulu poʻe i loaʻa kŘpa a kiʻekiʻe market waiwai, kona ulu,ʻaʻole hiki ke loaʻa me ka hou waiwai kūʻai kumu waiwai no ka pau' ana o ka paa a me ka pono waiwai, i ka manaʻo o nā ana e hoʻoikaika huahana ka hoʻokūkū, hana ana a me ka hana o ka waiwai kūʻai attractiveness.

Mahuahua o ka waiwai kūʻai attractiveness o ka poe nona ke hooponopono ana o ka waiwai kūʻai ha awina, aʻae nō hoʻi o ka nui loa aiao o ke kūkulu poe.

Ka'ōnaehana o ka waiwai kūʻai ha awina'ōnaehana oihana Pono nń hoʻolālā, hiki ma ke kumu o kēlaʻikepili, e hooholo i ka KUMUMANAʻO NUI Pahuhopu o ka waiwai kūʻai ha awina o ke kumuhana o ka hooponopono, aoao a me na kumu o ka hoʻokō 'ia. Waiwai kūʻai attractiveness o ka hana i loko o ka KUMUMANAʻO NUI AIM e hoonui waiwai kūʻai hope a me ka mālama 'ana i o kona kaʻoi loaʻilikai.

Palena waiwai kūʻai ha awina hoʻolālā e kukulu ai i loko o ke kaʻina hana o forecasting i ka hopena o i mea na laupaʻi predictive waiwai o ka waiwai kūʻai ha awina inideka (mall nā hoailona) i loko o ka wā e hiki mai, o ka pilikia nui o ka waiwai kūʻai ha awina o ka hale hana, i ka piʻi like ana i hiki aku ai i ka qualitative loli i loko o kona market waiwai. Ua haawiia i ka waiwai kūʻai attractiveness o ka hana pono i ke koena aku hoi Outlook, i ka ka manaʻo pohihihi o ka forecasting kaʻina hana a me ka olelo no ka pono o nā hualoaʻa, e mea hiki ke Loiloi i ka predictive waiwai o ka waiwai kūʻai ha awina nā hoailona hoʻohana 'ana i kekahi mau ki ina hana like.

E lawe i ka mooolelo o ka helu o nā kumumea: ka specificity o ka olelo wanana a makemake (o ka waiwai kūʻai attractiveness o kaʻaha kanaka, kona hope a me kona mall nā hoailona), loaʻa nui o ana helu 'ike e pili ana i ke kiʻi, ka meakino-makahiki au o ka anticipation, ia mea kupono i ka hana i loko o ke kaʻina hana o ka waiwai kūʻai ha awina o ka hale hana forecasting extrapolation ki ina hana like. Kupono precondition o ka palapala noi o kēia mau kiʻina hana nei i kekahiʻano o ka 'oni' ana i loko o nāʻano o ka waiwai kūʻai ha awina o ka hale e hana i loko o ka pōkole a me ka meakino manawa.

Extrapolation ki ina hana like ka nānā 'ana ma luna o flashbacks, a ma ia hana i ka mea hōʻeuʻeu ho olelo wanana a: i ka' inideka o ka waiwai kūʻai ha awina o ka hale hana, kona mall kiko'î a me ka haawi aku kū i ke au i loko o nā nā hoailona ma ka ia kekahi manawa no ka wā e hiki mai.

Haʻawina i hoike ia ma ka mea e hooholo i ka prognostic waiwai o nā hoailona o ke kūkulu hana hana ha awina e olelo nei i ka hana o ke kēia mau kiʻina hana:

• mākau hoʻopololei;

• Simple exponential smoothing;

• exponential smoothing Holt-Winters;

• Brown ka exponential smoothing.

A pau i kēia mau kiʻina hana i ka nānā 'ana ma luna o ka manao i ka waiwai kūʻai hoopii ana o ka hana a me ka hōʻeuʻeu pae ke kaumaha ma muli o ka helu o nā hoailona o kona waiwai kūʻai hana ma ka manawa kumumea.